16 January 2014


Adams in! Hanks out! A kingly two nominations for the wonderful and gorgeously-appointed Inside Llewyn Davis! Since the whole thing is much pleasanter when you just treat it as a game, I'll share my score: a dismal 88/122 (80/107 without the shorts; 37/44 on the Big 8). It was a hard year to predict, but not that hard.

But seriously, two nominations for Inside Llewyn Davis is fucking bullshit.

12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
The Wolf of Wall Street

I predicted only eight films, of which all eight were nominated. Missed: Her

Non-binding prediction: 12 Years a Slave

The bitterest parts of this list, I've been able to get used to in the last few weeks, so there's nothing much to say, other than that we always must all predict nine films going forward, no matter what, and that's all there is to it.

Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
Alexander Payne, Nebraska
David O. Russell, American Hustle
Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street

I predicted: 4/5

Non-binding prediction: Alfonso Cuarón

In case there was any doubt that this was strictly a three-film race, Greengrass failing to land for director was a pretty big tell. Having never thought that Spike Jonze had a prayer here - he wouldn't have even been my prediction 7th place, though that's probably where he ended up - I can't bring myself to call him "snubbed"

Christian Bale, American Hustle
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club

I predicted: 4/5

Non-binding prediction: Chiwetel Ejiofor.

No Hanks! I already said that, but it's worth repeating. Bale in makes this the second David O. Russell film in a row to go 4/4 in the acting categories, and is clearly the biggest sign of Hustle's strength: it's got to be between that and 12 Years a Slave at the top, right?

Amy Adams, American Hustle
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

I predicted: 4/5

Non-binding prediction, but you can go ahead and bind me to it: Cate Blanchett.

AKA Blanchett and her four victims. I have a hard time thinking up anything to say about this.

Supporting Actor
Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

I predicted: 4/5

Non-binding prediction: Jared Leto.

Two-time nominee Jonah Hill, eh? Christ Jesus. I do think he was far better in TWOWS than in Moneyball, so that's something.

Supporting Actress
Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
June Squibb, Nebraska

I predicted: 4/5

Non-binding prediction: Lupita Nyong'o.

Oprah snubbed! And with Hawkins dropping in semi-unexpectedly, I suddenly have a rooting interest in what was looking like my least-favorite category.

Adapted Screenplay
12 Years a Slave, by John Ridley
Before Midnight, by Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke, & Richard Linklater
Captain Phillips, by Billy Ray
Philomena, by Steve Coogan & Jeff Pope
The Wolf of Wall Street, by Terence Winter

I predicted: 5/5

Non-binding prediction: 12 Years a Slave

Nothing surprising here. Glad Before Midnight got something at all, even if it's largely superficial.

Original Screenplay
American Hustle, by David O. Russell and Eric Singer
Blue Jasmine, by Woody Allen
Dallas Buyers Club, by Craig Borten and Melissa Wallack
Her, by Spike Jonze
Nebraska, by Bob Nelson

I predicted: 4/5

Non-binding prediction: American Hustle

Of all the things that Inside Llewyn Davis didn't get, this one burns the most by far. I suspect that all of us care more than the Coens do, but it's still insulting.

The Grandmaster (Philippe Le Sourd)
Gravity (Emmanuel Lubezki)
Inside Llewyn Davis (Bruno Delbonnel)
Nebraska (Phedon Papamichael)
Prisoners (Roger Deakins)

I predicted: 4/5

Non-binding prediction: Gravity

A shocking miss for 12 Years a Slave. I want to point out that my three favorite living cinematographers and, maybe, my least-favorite living cinematographer are all rubbing shoulders here.

12 Years a Slave (Joe Walker)
American Hustle (Jay Cassidy and Crispin Struthers)
Captain Phillips (Christopher Rouse)
Dallas Buyers Club (John Mac McMurphy and Martin Pensa)
Gravity (Alfonso Cuarón and Mark Sanger)

I predicted: 4/5

Non-binding prediction: Captain Phillips

Clearest indication of Dallas Buyers Club's overall strength, and I though this would have been an incredibly easy get for Thelma Schoonmaker and The Wolf of Wall Street. Apparently I'm not alone in thinking that the film is a bit formless where it shouldn't be, but it's still stunning. She'll have to wait till another year to tie up that record, sadly.

Production Design
12 Years a Slave (Adam Stochausen; Alice Baker)
American Hustle (Judy Becker; Heather Loeffler)
Gravity (Andy Nicholson; Rosie Goodwin)
The Great Gatsby (Catherine Martin; Beverly Dunn)
Her (K.K. Barrett; Gene Serdena)

I predicted: 4/5

Non-binding prediction: The Great Gatsby

For the first time ever, a Middle-Earth film has missed out in this category, and despite The Desolation of Smaug having better design than An Unexpected Journey, in my estimation. At a glance, I'm tempted to call this the strongest category out of them all.

Costume Design
12 Years a Slave (Patricia Norris)
American Hustle (Michael Wilkinson)
The Grandmaster (William Chang Suk Ping)
The Great Gatsby (Catherine Martin)
The Invisible Woman (Michael O'Connor)

I predicted: 3/5

Non-binding prediction: The Great Gatsby

And here we have the one domestic feature category with a nominee I haven't seen, The Invisible Woman. Otherwise, I don't know, nothing else to say. None of the usual left-field choices this category makes, in terms of making something dreadful an Oscar nominee.

Makeup and Hairstyling
Dallas Buyers Club
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
The Lone Ranger

I predicted: 2/3

Non-binding prediction: Dallas Buyers Club

Wow. I'm sure somebody was predicting American Hustle would be strong enough for Bale to get in, and yet weak enough to miss here, but I surely don't know that person. It's always a bit disorienting when one's pick to win doesn't even snag a nomination, and of course, with Costume falling short, my thanks to being the place that shitty movies can call themselves Oscar nominees.

The Book Thief (John Williams)
Gravity (Steven Price)
Her (William Butler and Owen Pallett)
Philomena (Alexandre Desplat)
Saving Mr. Banks (Thomas Newman)

I predicted: 3/5

Non-binding prediction: Gravity

An odd but welcome place for Her to pop up. Curiously cozy set of nominees, the more I stare at it.

From Alone Yet Not Alone: "Alone Yet Not Alone"
From Despicable Me 2: "Happy"
From Frozen: "Let It Go"
From Her: "The Moon Song"
From Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom: "Ordinary Love"

I predicted: 2/5

Non-binding prediction: "Let It Go"

Whatever this category move along.

Sound Mixing
Captain Phillips
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Inside Llewyn Davis
Lone Survivor

I predicted: 3/5

Non-binding prediction: Inside Llewyn Davis

The Hobbit? Really? Where the hell did that come from?

Sound Editing
All Is Lost
Captain Phillips
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Lone Survivor

I predicted: 4/5

Non-binding prediction: Gravity

About the same, though I get it a little more here, the dragon voice and all. Congrats to the awesome All Is Lost on its one and only nomination, aka "The Drive Slot"

Visual Effects
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Iron Man 3
The Lone Ranger
Star Trek Into Darkness

I predicted: 4/5

Non-binding prediction: Gravity

AKA Gravity and a bunch of dudes who get to put on tuxes and attend a fancy ceremony.

Animated Feature
Despicable Me 2
The Croods
Ernest & Celestine
The Wind Rises

I predicted: 4/5

Non-binding prediction: Frozen

I'll be talking about this category later today at The Film Experience.

Foreign Language
The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium)
The Great Beauty (Italy)
The Hunt (Denmark)
The Missing Picture (Cambodia)
Omar (Palestine)

I predicted: 3/5

Non-binding prediction: The Great Beauty

I am now particularly mad that I didn't push harder to see The Missing Picture at CIFF last year, but I get the feeling that I'm super-happy for it. Hopefully going to see The Great Beauty very soon.

Documentary Feature
20 Feet from Stardom
The Act of Killing
Cutie and the Boxer
Dirty Wars
The Square

I predicted: 2/5

Non-binding prediction: The Square

Having refused to predict The Act of Killing on account of not wanting to be sad if it missed, I'm of course THRILLED that my pick for the best film of last year could manage an Oscar nomination. It's also the only nominee I've seen, so I can't really say much else.

Documentary Short
Facing Fear
Karama Has No Walls
The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life
Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall

I predicted: 3/5

Non-binding prediction: Karama Has No Walls

And of course, I've seen none of these.

Animated Short
Get a Horse!
Mr. Hublot
Room on the Broom

I predicted: 3/5

Non-binding prediction: Get a Horse!

I'll be talking about this category tomorrow at The Film Experience.

Live-Action Short
Aquel No Era Yo (That Wasn't Me)
Avant Que De Tout Perdre (Just Before Losing Everything)
Pitääkö Mun Kaikki Hoitaa? (Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?)
The Voorman Problem

I predicted: 2/5

Non-binding prediction: The Voorman Problem

And again, haven't seen any of these, don't really know much about them. But they'll be making their national tour and I shall see them then.


Jeremy said...

As you could guess, I'm beyond disgusted at Tom Hanks complete omission from this year after two of the finest performances in his already impressive career. Fuckin' A. Abdi is here though, so yay

The Lone Ranger and Inside Llewyn Davis have the same amount of nominations. Think about that shit, Tim.

Hawkins is the best surprise here. #JusticeForPoppy twitter campaign worked!

and no Butler. Ya know, this isn't so bad a list, after all.

Long said...

So basically are you going to vent off some steam in your aforementioned "The Film Experience" at the fact that Monsters University was completely snubbed for some stupid beedobeedo? Because if yes, I can't wait to read it.

Tim said...

There will be steam vented, aye. But I'm going to try to accentuate the positive.

Jeremy- Hanks out of Best Actor is the most aggravating thing to be found in the acting races, by far. Emma Thompson missing disappoints me, but it's of an entirely different order.

Brian said...

Call me crazy, but I think Amy Adams pulls the upset.

Also, I can resume my nearly annual tradition of touring for Roger Deakins to finally, FINALLY get a good damn Oscar.

DeeperUnderstanding said...

Yay for Barkhad Abdi!

Boo for Christian Bale getting Tom Hanks' spot and Julia Roberts getting Margo Martindale's.

And a big fat "feh" for American Hustle. It was fine but I'm tired of David O. Russell films getting Every Nomination just for existing.

Overall though, it looks like movies that I liked will win in most categories, so can't complain too much.

Mr. Blackwell said...

I think in a year this good for the kind of movies that the Oscars like to award, there were bound to be some obvious omissions, but some things are just absolutely baffling to me:

- 9 movies in the Best Picture race is bizarre, especially when Philomena makes it in and Inside Llewyn Davis and All is Lost are just, like, hanging out

- Tom Hanks was absolutely fan-fucking-tastic in Captain Phillips, but for my tastes I'd have liked to have seen Robert Redford and Oscar Isaac in there somehow

- I wouldn't be shocked to see Jennifer Lawrence win again. She's clearly got, like, some sort of black magic pact going on here

- I think most people agree that Cate Blanchett IS Blue Jasmine, moreso than Allen's script... having not seen it, I can't comment really, but god damn does not having Inside Llewyn Davis hurt there.

- just out of curiosity, is it Phillipe Le Sourd or Phedon Papamichael who is your least-favourite cinematographer? I'm not overly familiar with either of them...

- would love to see Miyazaki win for his last film but I can't see him overcoming the Frozen juggernaut

- finally, GOOD CHRIST how does Inside Llewyn Davis not get an original song nom? I mean, maybe that's better than the Golden Globes totally missing the point and nominating "Please Mr. Kennedy," but still...

Michael James Roberson said...

Mr. Blackwell - none of the songs in Inside Llewyn Davis were actually eligible for best original song. "Please Mr. Kennedy" is the closest thing it has to an original song, but it's loosely based off a couple of novelty/protest songs from the '60s so they ruled it out. All of the other songs in the movie are straight covers.

Andrew K. said...

Is it odd that omission I find myself being most bummed about is Bruhl for RUSH (in fact, RUSH for nothing)? Although I predicted it, I'd made peace with LLEWYN being an unlikely nominee, as fine as Hanks is I found Abdi superior and think the Best Actor category is generally good, and I was hoping for some Thelma love but she has her other statues to keep her warm but I'm in this weird place where (unfortunately) I feel this is the closes thing Bruhl ever had for some global recognition. Oh well.

(Who knows, though, my thoughts may be suspect as I don't think Hill is the offensive party in the supporting lineup everyone else seems to think.)

Rick Rische said...

Hooray for "Star Trek Into Darkness" nominated for Best Visual FX!! (Disclaimer: my 2nd film done with Ben Grossmann to get an FX nom ("Hugo" was the 1st) Too bad this year "Gravity" will keep everybody else in their seats. Haha yeah...I'll show myself out.)

Rick Rische said...

Also, I know this question will expose a level of ignorance that will probably get me banned from this blog, but why is "Before Midnight" considered an Adapted Screenplay?

Brian said...

Sequels are automatically adaptations, by the Academy's rules.

陳朗 said...

Looking forward to seeing your take on the Best Animated Short category tomorrow on Film Experience, since I'm sure you've seen more than my pathetic two of the five nominees. :D

TheConciseStatement said...

Others have adequately conveyed my utter disgust at Hanks being snubbed, but on a more positive note - Hollywood, that bastion of pro-Zionism recognising a Palestinian film (and therefore viewing its home as an actual country) was a very pleasant film. I'll concede though that I haven't seen the film itself, which could be absolutely shite and/or reprehensible for all I know. Reviews welcome.

TheConciseStatement said...

*I meant surprise. A very pleasant surprise. So again, to all who've seen 'Omar', let us know how it was.

Cameron said...

Who is this least-favorite DP you mention? It must be either Le Sourd or Papamichael. It must be Papamichael, Le Sourd is of little consequence. Right? I have mixed feelings on Papamichael... I liked The Descendents and Sideways ok, but I feel that I can never forgive him for 3:10 to Yuma.

Tim said...

Papamichael indeed. And while he's done some lovely work, Pursuit of Happyness set him on a path of no-holds-barred mediocrity that turns everything he touches into a magazine spread, and from this path he has not strayed.

Cameron said...

At least he's not a whore like Dion Beebe.