07 March 2010

OSCAR PREDICTIONS

Update: 20/24, including the semi-surprising Foreign Film win, the very surprising (even to me) Animated Short win, and a whole lot of things that everyone saw coming. So it's not, I think, that I did well, but that the awards were boring and predictable. Still, my second-best year since I started predicting every category (best was 21/24 in 2004, the only year I've ever gotten all of the Big 8).

I caved. I fucking caved. I wasn't going to. But I couldn't help myself.

Best Picture
The Hurt Locker

Best Director
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker

Best Actor
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart

Best Actress
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side

Best Supporting Actor
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds

Best Supporting Actress
Mo'Nique, Precious: Based on the Novel 'Push' by Sapphire

Best Original Screenplay
The Hurt Locker (Mark Boal)

Best Adapted Screenplay
Up in the Air (Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner)
(went to Precious: Based on the Novel 'Push' by Sapphire)

Best Cinematography
Avatar (Mauro Fiore)

Best Editing
The Hurt Locker (Chris Innis and Bob Murawski)

Best Art Direction
Avatar (Rick Carter and Robert Stromberg; Kim Sinclair)

Best Costume Design
The Young Victoria (Sandy Powell)

Best Makeup
Star Trek (Barney Burman, Mindy Hall & Joel Harlow)

Best Visual Effects
Avatar (Joe Letteri, Stephen Rosenbaum, Richard Baneham, & Andy Jones)

Best Score
Up (Michael Giacchino)

Best Song
"The Weary Kind" from Crazy Heart (Ryan Bingham & T-Bone Burnett)

Best Sound Mixing
The Hurt Locker (Paul N.J. Ottosson & Ray Beckett)

Best Sound Editing
Avatar (Christopher Boyes & Gwendolyn Yates Whittle)
(went to The Hurt Locker)

Best Animated Feature
Up

Best Foreign Language Film
The Secret in Their Eyes (Argentina)

Best Documentary
The Cove

Best Documentary Short
China's Unnatural Disaster: The Tears of Sichuan Province
(went to Music by Prudence)

Best Animated Short
Logorama

Best Live-Action Short
Instead of Abracadabra
(went to The New Tenants)

8 comments:

  1. You have more confidence in the Academy to do the right thing than I. I hope you're right.

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  2. I really hope I'm wrong, but I think that Avatar will pretty much dominate. Sadly.

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  3. you are 5 for 5 so far!! pretty impressive

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  4. 20 out of 24... and nailing the big 5 yet again. I don't know how you do it, but I wouldn't know how to make picks at an Oscar party without your list. Well done sir.

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  5. Benjamin: your link didn't work. Here is what I think you were trying for.

    Jack: I hope you got a nice prize at the party. I merely got pride.

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  6. Ah. Damn quotation mark.

    Congrats on your accuracy, and hooray for good taste prevailing.

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  7. I've been jerking off to Inglourious Basterds all year, and The Hurt Locker was a film liked despite its screenplay. When it beat Inglourious Basterds for screenplay I turned it off. I went to a party, got really drunk and then made everyone watch Inglourious Basterds.

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  8. I only got 18 right (curse you, Documentary Categories). I'm surprised people are surprised Precious won Adapted Screenplay. Wrangling a watchable film (and I believe, most heartbreaking) out of the material it covered is worth the award. Of course, there is always a difference between what WINS and what SHOULD win.

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